tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: WN 364 at 06:25 is the safest bet, 5% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 29%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 364 Southwest FLL 06:25 IND 09:05 5% 2% 1.9% no record
WN 483 Southwest FLL 17:56 IND 20:49 29% 10% 1.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 48m Atlanta ATL 08:59 → IND 10:31DL 2952 5h 08m 96% 84%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314 3h 10m Houston IAH 11:55 → IND 15:25UA 1687 8h 25m 96% 83%
AmericanDetails → FLL 11:23 → DCA 14:08AA 1893 3h 10m Washington DCA 17:18 → IND 19:18AA 4501 · flown by Republic 7h 55m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → IND 12:36DL 3013 6h 03m 96% 82%
AmericanDetails → FLL 06:53 → PHL 09:35AA 2089 1h 10m Philadelphia PHL 10:45 → IND 13:08AA 5240 · flown by PSA 6h 15m 92% 82%
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673 2h 21m Minneapolis MSP 20:00 → IND 22:37DL 674 7h 50m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 3h 56m Atlanta ATL 16:50 → IND 18:27DL 2979 7h 23m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:27 → BOS 14:48DL 1401 2h 07m Boston BOS 16:55 → IND 19:42DL 5616 · flown by Republic 8h 15m 94% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 54m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → IND 15:19DL 3134 4h 15m 69% 56%
UnitedDetails → FLL 15:52 → EWR 18:59UA 1800 48m Newark EWR 19:47 → IND 22:11UA 3447 · flown by Republic 6h 19m 63% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON