Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 33–35% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 18 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 21:14	JAX 22:44	33%	19%	3.0%	27%
B6 2118 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 13:20	JAX 14:40	35%	18%	6.1%	68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jacksonville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 48m Atlanta	ATL 12:15 → JAX 13:25DL 3024	6h 52m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 10:48 → JAX 12:00DL 2923	6h 37m	96%	80%
American Details →	FLL 06:04 → CLT 08:04AA 1474	2h 41m Charlotte	CLT 10:45 → JAX 12:12AA 1925	6h 08m	95%	77%
United Details →	FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722	1h 25m Houston	IAH 12:10 → JAX 15:37UA 4048 · flown by Mesa	6h 37m	92%	75%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	3h 40m Atlanta	ATL 16:34 → JAX 17:50DL 2440	6h 46m	98%	74%
United Details →	FLL 12:15 → IAD 14:49UA 1421	3h 04m Dulles	IAD 17:53 → JAX 20:08UA 293	7h 53m	95%	70%
Delta Details →	FLL 17:00 → ATL 19:01DL 1413	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → JAX 00:09 +1DL 2276	7h 09m	99%	70%
American Details →	FLL 09:03 → CLT 11:06AA 2087	1h 37m Charlotte	CLT 12:43 → JAX 14:10AA 1937	5h 07m	89%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
Frontier Details →	FLL 17:39 → ATL 20:04F9 1123	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 21:18 → JAX 23:06F9 1550	5h 27m	67%	47%
United Details →	FLL 12:26 → ORD 14:55UA 1755	57m Chicago	ORD 15:52 → JAX 19:16UA 1284	6h 50m	70%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON