Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 1800 at 20:26, with a 28% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1800 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 20:26	ORF 22:51	28%	13%	2.9%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Norfolk on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:26 → ORF 14:06DL 2925	7h 33m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 09m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → ORF 11:57DL 3066	5h 57m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	54m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → ORF 09:46DL 2755	4h 23m	88%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:10 → ATL 14:02DL 1271	3h 48m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → ORF 19:39DL 1346	7h 29m	99%	75%
American Details →	FLL 10:49 → PHL 13:53AA 1333	2h 52m Philadelphia	PHL 16:45 → ORF 18:13AA 5632 · flown by PSA	7h 24m	97%	75%
Delta Details →	FLL 17:00 → ATL 19:01DL 1413	3h 31m Atlanta	ATL 22:32 → ORF 00:19 +1DL 2338	7h 19m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	1h 48m Atlanta	ATL 14:42 → ORF 16:22DL 1101	5h 18m	91%	73%
American Details →	FLL 09:03 → CLT 11:06AA 2087	2h 42m Charlotte	CLT 13:48 → ORF 15:09AA 1323	6h 06m	93%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 17:00 → ATL 19:01DL 1413	53m Atlanta	ATL 19:54 → ORF 21:42DL 2984	4h 42m	62%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON