Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 1146 at 20:55, with a 27% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1146 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 20:55	RIC 23:18	27%	14%	1.9%	64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Richmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 09:40 → RIC 11:19DL 2650	5h 56m	96%	85%
United Details →	FLL 10:00 → EWR 13:03UA 2387	2h 12m Newark	EWR 15:15 → RIC 16:56UA 3639 · flown by Republic	6h 56m	100%	81%
American Details →	FLL 06:04 → CLT 08:04AA 1474	2h 34m Charlotte	CLT 10:38 → RIC 12:04AA 5119 · flown by PSA	6h 00m	95%	80%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:49 → RIC 17:30DL 1214	6h 26m	98%	80%
United Details →	FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722	1h 18m Houston	IAH 12:03 → RIC 16:11UA 4057 · flown by Mesa	7h 11m	92%	80%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:10 → ATL 14:02DL 1271	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 17:55 → RIC 19:35DL 1348	7h 25m	99%	77%
Delta Details →	FLL 17:00 → ATL 19:01DL 1413	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 22:39 → RIC 00:17 +1DL 1175	7h 17m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 19:55 → RIC 21:36DL 1263	7h 06m	97%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	51m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → RIC 15:20DL 3152	4h 16m	65%	55%
Delta Details →	FLL 17:00 → ATL 19:01DL 1413	54m Atlanta	ATL 19:55 → RIC 21:36DL 1263	4h 36m	65%	49%
Delta Details →	FLL 17:25 → JFK 20:27DL 305	58m New York	JFK 21:25 → RIC 23:22DL 4659 · flown by Endeavor	5h 59m	73%	47%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON