Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:23, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 745 Delta Flight history →	FLL 17:40	SLC 20:41	23%	7%	1.5%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	FLL 06:20 → PHX 08:14AA 441	2h 04m Phoenix	PHX 10:18 → SLC 13:17AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	8h 57m	96%	84%
United Details →	FLL 15:30 → DEN 18:18UA 1417	2h 47m Denver	DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest	9h 14m	95%	84%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 47m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	3h 24m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	10h 11m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:53 → LAX 10:05DL 800	3h 05m Los Angeles	LAX 13:10 → SLC 16:03DL 1647	10h 10m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	9h 17m	98%	81%
United Details →	FLL 08:00 → DEN 10:21UA 1311	3h 29m Denver	DEN 13:50 → SLC 15:23UA 1840	9h 23m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:27 → DTW 14:26DL 655	3h 14m Detroit	DTW 17:40 → SLC 19:34DL 765	10h 07m	97%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON