Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 814 at 12:37, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 814 Delta	GEG 12:37	ATL 19:51	24%	5%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Spokane). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	GEG 14:26 → MSP 19:15DL 2437	3h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 23:14 → ATL 02:51 +1DL 9961	9h 25m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	GEG 17:10 → SLC 19:55DL 1503	3h 40m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:35 → ATL 05:14 +1DL 912	9h 04m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440	1h 53m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	7h 19m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	GEG 16:14 → LAX 19:00DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	3h 40m Los Angeles	LAX 22:40 → ATL 06:07 +1DL 899	10h 53m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	GEG 07:00 → MSP 11:52DL 1615	53m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	6h 22m	92%	81%
Alaska Details →	GEG 05:00 → PDX 06:10AS 710	1h 20m Portland	PDX 07:30 → ATL 15:15AS 784	7h 15m	98%	81%
United Details →	GEG 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 1234	1h 57m Denver	DEN 10:17 → ATL 15:23UA 2806	7h 23m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	GEG 13:30 → SLC 16:14DL 1452	1h 41m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905	7h 28m	96%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	GEG 07:13 → SEA 08:18AS 360	47m Seattle	SEA 09:05 → ATL 16:57AS 334	6h 44m	56%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON