Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 3696 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	GEG 06:50	LAX 09:42	10%	2%	0.6%	93%
DL 3794 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	GEG 16:14	LAX 19:00	14%	3%	0.6%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	GEG 07:00 → MSP 11:52DL 1615	1h 11m Minneapolis	MSP 13:03 → LAX 14:59DL 2974	7h 59m	96%	87%
Alaska Details →	GEG 05:00 → PDX 06:10AS 710	1h 10m Portland	PDX 07:20 → LAX 09:57AS 581	4h 57m	97%	85%
Alaska Details →	GEG 12:42 → PDX 13:52AS 251	3h 45m Portland	PDX 17:37 → LAX 20:09AS 278	7h 27m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440	3h 28m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829	7h 07m	99%	83%
United Details →	GEG 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 1234	1h 42m Denver	DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405	6h 34m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	GEG 07:00 → SEA 08:22DL 3790 · flown by SkyWest	1h 43m Seattle	SEA 10:05 → LAX 12:55DL 2769	5h 55m	96%	80%
American Details →	GEG 06:29 → PHX 09:27AA 2697	1h 21m Phoenix	PHX 10:48 → LAX 12:21AA 2027	5h 52m	95%	77%
Delta Details →	GEG 13:25 → SEA 14:50DL 3754 · flown by SkyWest	2h 40m Seattle	SEA 17:30 → LAX 20:13DL 2861	6h 48m	99%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	GEG 12:42 → PDX 13:52AS 251	46m Portland	PDX 14:38 → LAX 16:52AS 1469	4h 10m	70%	56%
Alaska Details →	GEG 11:40 → SEA 12:50AS 2262 · flown by Horizon	48m Seattle	SEA 13:38 → LAX 16:25AS 696	4h 45m	70%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON