tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2492 American GRR 07:11 CLT 09:00 15% 4% 0.8% no record
AA 1384 American GRR 14:39 CLT 16:38 19% 6% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → GRR 06:30 → ATL 08:31DL 2453 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190 4h 56m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → GRR 09:00 → ATL 11:01DL 2161 1h 19m Atlanta ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157 4h 31m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → GRR 06:05 → EWR 08:00UA 3718 · flown by Republic 2h 03m Newark EWR 10:03 → CLT 12:07UA 3504 · flown by Republic 6h 02m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → GRR 10:34 → DTW 11:33DL 3500 · flown by SkyWest 3h 21m Detroit DTW 14:54 → CLT 16:48DL 1429 6h 14m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → GRR 08:00 → DEN 08:54UA 2648 59m Denver DEN 09:53 → CLT 15:17UA 2231 7h 17m 92% 77%
AmericanDetails → GRR 12:56 → LGA 15:06AA 4498 · flown by Republic 3h 16m New York LGA 18:22 → CLT 20:27AA 1942 7h 31m 100% 76%
DeltaDetails → GRR 14:00 → ATL 16:08DL 2547 2h 51m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → CLT 20:07DL 2132 6h 07m 99% 75%
AmericanDetails → GRR 13:53 → DCA 15:57AA 5039 · flown by PSA 3h 22m Washington DCA 19:19 → CLT 20:52AA 2002 6h 59m 98% 72%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → GRR 13:16 → DFW 15:02AA 3167 59m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:01 → CLT 19:42AA 2013 6h 26m 69% 44%
AmericanDetails → GRR 17:24 → DFW 19:14AA 310 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:11 → CLT 23:45AA 460 6h 21m 62% 39%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON