tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5088 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record GSO 06:00 DTW 07:45 11% 6% 1.1% 89%
DL 4966 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record GSO 11:21 DTW 13:06 22% 10% 1.4% 78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → GSO 08:45 → LGA 10:30AA 4419 · flown by Republic 1h 15m New York LGA 11:45 → DTW 13:49AA 4339 · flown by Republic 5h 04m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → GSO 06:00 → ATL 07:20DL 3018 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 09:45 → DTW 11:40DL 8861 5h 40m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → GSO 07:05 → ATL 08:28DL 3004 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240 5h 51m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → GSO 05:16 → CLT 06:09AA 1078 2h 28m Charlotte CLT 08:37 → DTW 10:27AA 2582 5h 11m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → GSO 11:31 → ATL 12:55DL 3173 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 15:28 → DTW 17:28DL 1005 5h 57m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → GSO 08:46 → CLT 09:44AA 3965 · flown by Envoy 2h 44m Charlotte CLT 12:28 → DTW 14:17AA 1683 5h 31m 100% 82%
AmericanDetails → GSO 17:32 → PHL 19:09AA 5794 · flown by Piedmont 2h 34m Philadelphia PHL 21:43 → DTW 23:35AA 5418 · flown by PSA 6h 03m 95% 81%
UnitedDetails → GSO 06:15 → IAD 07:33UA 4251 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 02m Dulles IAD 08:35 → DTW 10:14UA 6137 · flown by Mesa 3h 59m 92% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → GSO 14:00 → LGA 15:42DL 5043 · flown by Endeavor 1h 18m New York LGA 17:00 → DTW 19:39DL 999 5h 39m 67% 55%
UnitedDetails → GSO 17:37 → ORD 19:00UA 4451 · flown by GoJet 1h 03m Chicago ORD 20:03 → DTW 22:18UA 768 4h 41m 68% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON