Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Columbus on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750	6h 38m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	HOU 11:00 → ATL 14:04DL 1509	3h 46m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → CMH 19:27DL 2786	7h 27m	99%	83%
Southwest Details →	HOU 05:18 → TPA 08:35WN 2133	3h 08m Tampa	TPA 11:43 → CMH 14:10WN 4465	7h 52m	100%	81%
Southwest Details →	HOU 11:50 → DAL 13:00WN 22	3h 58m Dallas	DAL 16:58 → CMH 20:30WN 1079	7h 40m	99%	72%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:35DL 2381	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 21:55 → CMH 23:33DL 1459	5h 16m	87%	71%
American Details →	HOU 12:46 → DFW 14:09AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	1h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:34 → CMH 19:07AA 2337	5h 21m	83%	51%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON