Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 2330 Southwest	HOU 08:28	MAF 10:06	6%	1%	0.9%	no record
WN 1664 Southwest	HOU 19:53	MAF 21:31	16%	4%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Midland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 08:28 → DAL 09:50WN 10	3h 13m Dallas	DAL 13:03 → MAF 14:31WN 1771	6h 03m	99%	83%
Southwest Details →	HOU 14:38 → DAL 16:00WN 34	3h 28m Dallas	DAL 19:28 → MAF 20:56WN 4294	6h 18m	99%	73%
American Details →	HOU 12:46 → DFW 14:09AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	1h 30m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:39 → MAF 16:58AA 3653 · flown by Envoy	4h 12m	84%	65%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON