Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, WN 1666 at 10:58, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1666 Southwest	HOU 10:58	MIA 14:29	23%	4%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 00m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → MIA 13:07DL 1332	6h 07m	98%	75%
Southwest Details →	HOU 08:28 → DAL 09:50WN 10	1h 48m Dallas	DAL 11:38 → MIA 15:29WN 1338	6h 01m	97%	71%
Delta Details →	HOU 11:00 → ATL 14:04DL 1509	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 17:48 → MIA 19:44DL 719	7h 44m	99%	68%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:35DL 2381	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 22:53 → MIA 00:55 +1DL 1589	6h 38m	94%	66%
American Details →	HOU 12:46 → DFW 14:09AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	3h 35m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:44 → MIA 21:50AA 2050	8h 04m	93%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON