Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 5442 American flown by PSA Flight history →	HSV 06:01	DCA 09:18	7%	3%	1.7%	79%
OH 5143 PSA	HSV 11:51	DCA 15:07	11%	5%	2.0%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Washington on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Huntsville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HSV 07:10 → ATL 09:15DL 3009	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DCA 12:52DL 1798	4h 42m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	HSV 06:00 → ATL 08:05DL 2556	1h 35m Atlanta	ATL 09:40 → DCA 11:27DL 380	4h 27m	94%	82%
Delta Details →	HSV 12:27 → ATL 14:33DL 2182	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 17:55 → DCA 19:48DL 832	6h 21m	98%	77%
Delta Details →	HSV 17:11 → ATL 19:17DL 3026	2h 42m Atlanta	ATL 21:59 → DCA 23:52DL 537	5h 41m	95%	77%
United Details →	HSV 07:15 → ORD 09:33UA 4480 · flown by GoJet	1h 42m Chicago	ORD 11:15 → DCA 14:22UA 2668	6h 07m	93%	76%
Delta Details →	HSV 06:00 → DTW 08:58DL 5382 · flown by Endeavor	1h 02m Detroit	DTW 10:00 → DCA 11:28DL 2476	4h 28m	89%	76%
American Details →	HSV 12:14 → ORD 14:28AA 6352 · flown by SkyWest	2h 34m Chicago	ORD 17:02 → DCA 20:16AA 489	7h 02m	100%	76%
American Details →	HSV 08:41 → CLT 11:32AA 5393 · flown by PSA	3h 02m Charlotte	CLT 14:34 → DCA 16:13AA 2839	6h 32m	98%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	HSV 16:34 → CLT 19:20AA 5807 · flown by Piedmont	1h 12m Charlotte	CLT 20:32 → DCA 22:10AA 2432	4h 36m	70%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON