Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 4640 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	HSV 08:00	DEN 10:20	10%	4%	0.7%	89%
UA 5393 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	HSV 15:35	DEN 17:55	15%	5%	0.8%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Huntsville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HSV 05:56 → DTW 09:02DL 5382 · flown by Endeavor	3h 42m Detroit	DTW 12:44 → DEN 13:47DL 1648	8h 51m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	HSV 07:10 → ATL 09:15DL 3009	3h 40m Atlanta	ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957	7h 50m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	HSV 12:27 → ATL 14:33DL 2182	2h 10m Atlanta	ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519	6h 29m	96%	76%
American Details →	HSV 07:04 → CLT 09:49AA 6071 · flown by Piedmont	3h 24m Charlotte	CLT 13:13 → DEN 14:46AA 696	8h 42m	100%	76%
United Details →	HSV 11:10 → IAH 13:28UA 4909 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 32m Houston	IAH 15:00 → DEN 16:43UA 2767	6h 33m	93%	75%
United Details →	HSV 18:08 → IAD 21:04UA 4351 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 19m Dulles	IAD 22:23 → DEN 00:30 +1UA 495	7h 22m	84%	72%
American Details →	HSV 07:32 → ORD 09:53AA 6464 · flown by SkyWest	2h 08m Chicago	ORD 12:01 → DEN 13:53AA 1277	7h 21m	95%	69%
United Details →	HSV 13:37 → ORD 15:45UA 4469 · flown by GoJet	2h 32m Chicago	ORD 18:17 → DEN 20:22UA 1974	7h 45m	92%	65%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	HSV 13:37 → ORD 15:45UA 4469 · flown by GoJet	49m Chicago	ORD 16:34 → DEN 18:23UA 1882	5h 46m	59%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON