tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 5496 at 13:19, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 5496 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → HSV 13:19 LGA 16:53 20% 8% 3.6% 51%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Huntsville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → HSV 07:10 → ATL 09:15DL 3009 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525 6h 40m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → HSV 05:56 → DTW 09:02DL 5382 · flown by Endeavor 3h 13m Detroit DTW 12:15 → LGA 14:05DL 1669 7h 09m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → HSV 06:00 → ATL 08:05DL 2556 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371 5h 42m 93% 78%
DeltaDetails → HSV 12:27 → ATL 14:33DL 2182 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 17:00 → LGA 19:27DL 997 6h 00m 97% 75%
AmericanDetails → HSV 07:04 → CLT 09:49AA 6071 · flown by Piedmont 2h 03m Charlotte CLT 11:52 → LGA 13:43AA 2268 5h 39m 99% 73%
DeltaDetails → HSV 17:11 → ATL 19:17DL 3026 1h 43m Atlanta ATL 21:00 → LGA 23:24DL 520 5h 13m 90% 72%
UnitedDetails → HSV 11:10 → IAH 13:28UA 4909 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 47m Houston IAH 16:15 → LGA 20:59UA 334 8h 49m 95% 67%
AmericanDetails → HSV 08:41 → CLT 11:32AA 5393 · flown by PSA 1h 43m Charlotte CLT 13:15 → LGA 15:14AA 2927 5h 33m 97% 67%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON