tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 4487 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record IAD 09:00 CVG 10:45 16% 14% 0.0% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAD 08:08 → ATL 10:01DL 3080 3h 48m Atlanta ATL 13:49 → CVG 15:12DL 3169 7h 04m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → IAD 05:53 → ATL 07:47DL 2127 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 11:15 → CVG 12:38DL 3149 6h 45m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → IAD 10:58 → ATL 12:38DL 1324 2h 37m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 5h 43m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → IAD 15:22 → ATL 17:11DL 2135 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 20:31 → CVG 21:59DL 2248 6h 37m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → IAD 18:17 → ATL 20:09DL 1695 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395 6h 22m 95% 81%
UnitedDetails → IAD 08:15 → ORD 09:36UA 1775 3h 23m Chicago ORD 12:59 → CVG 15:30UA 4388 · flown by GoJet 7h 15m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → IAD 08:40 → IAH 10:59UA 1524 1h 40m Houston IAH 12:39 → CVG 16:15UA 2850 7h 35m 96% 79%
UnitedDetails → IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 1h 11m Denver DEN 17:40 → CVG 22:28UA 1615 7h 53m 93% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → IAD 16:55 → DFW 19:15AA 524 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:01 → CVG 23:32AA 1266 6h 37m 67% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON