tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 6120 United flown by Mesa no forecast: 12-month record IAH 14:25 BHM 16:20 9% 9% 0.0% 91%
UA 4231 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record IAH 07:35 BHM 09:31 12% 6% 0.5% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Birmingham on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:49DL 1069 2h 26m Atlanta ATL 11:15 → BHM 11:10DL 1017 5h 30m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → ATL 10:04DL 1315 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → BHM 13:25DL 3012 6h 25m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → IAH 09:47 → ATL 12:54DL 1585 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 15:04 → BHM 15:05DL 3163 5h 18m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → IAH 12:06 → ATL 15:18DL 1682 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → BHM 19:01DL 3044 6h 55m 100% 80%
UnitedDetails → IAH 07:20 → DEN 08:52UA 1575 2h 19m Denver DEN 11:11 → BHM 14:58UA 447 7h 38m 98% 80%
AmericanDetails → IAH 05:02 → DFW 06:19AA 2551 3h 29m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:48 → BHM 11:54AA 5530 · flown by PSA 6h 52m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → IAH 11:32 → DTW 15:20DL 1043 1h 19m Detroit DTW 16:39 → BHM 17:43DL 3062 6h 11m 94% 77%
AmericanDetails → IAH 09:05 → DFW 10:27AA 3598 · flown by Envoy 2h 30m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:57 → BHM 14:49AA 3884 · flown by Envoy 5h 44m 96% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON