tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 544 United Flight history → IAH 07:20 CLE 11:14 8% 2% 0.6% 91%
UA 1934 United Flight history → IAH 14:35 CLE 18:30 14% 5% 0.6% 83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:49 → LAX 07:16UA 417 1h 07m Los Angeles LAX 08:23 → CLE 15:59UA 2315 9h 10m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 2h 53m Denver DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619 8h 21m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:49DL 1069 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 11:49 → CLE 13:35DL 775 6h 55m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → ATL 10:04DL 1315 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → CLE 15:29DL 2545 7h 29m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 2h 30m Chicago ORD 10:29 → CLE 12:58UA 2389 6h 54m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → IAH 16:35 → IAD 20:46UA 2388 1h 29m Dulles IAD 22:15 → CLE 23:44UA 2131 6h 09m 91% 81%
UnitedDetails → IAH 08:05 → ORD 11:02UA 1617 3h 18m Chicago ORD 14:20 → CLE 16:54UA 1502 7h 49m 100% 80%
AmericanDetails → IAH 12:01 → PHL 16:40AA 2427 3h 55m Philadelphia PHL 20:35 → CLE 22:22AA 981 9h 21m 98% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → IAH 14:14 → SLC 16:32DL 1532 53m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → CLE 22:58DL 2855 7h 44m 74% 63%
UnitedDetails → IAH 10:17 → FLL 14:06UA 2670 53m Fort Lauderdale FLL 14:59 → CLE 17:54UA 2725 6h 37m 74% 58%
JetBlueDetails → IAH 16:42 → FLL 20:05B6 2180 50m Fort Lauderdale FLL 20:55 → CLE 23:55B6 1590 6h 13m 45% 29%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON