tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4079 United flown by Mesa Flight history → IAH 10:02 COS 11:36 13% 5% 1.2% 84%
UA 5459 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → IAH 20:09 COS 21:55 19% 6% 0.6% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 58m Denver DEN 07:45 → COS 08:41UA 5246 · flown by SkyWest 4h 26m 95% 86%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 1h 07m Chicago ORD 09:06 → COS 11:09UA 1082 7h 05m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:49DL 1069 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 11:30 → COS 12:32DL 2427 7h 52m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → IAH 12:33 → DEN 14:17UA 2168 2h 38m Denver DEN 16:55 → COS 17:52UA 5308 · flown by SkyWest 6h 19m 98% 81%
UnitedDetails → IAH 07:20 → DEN 08:52UA 1575 2h 46m Denver DEN 11:38 → COS 12:21UA 738 6h 01m 99% 81%
AmericanDetails → IAH 06:02 → DFW 07:28AA 700 4h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:28 → COS 12:37AA 6390 · flown by SkyWest 7h 35m 97% 78%
AmericanDetails → IAH 05:02 → DFW 06:19AA 2551 2h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:21 → COS 09:31AA 1552 5h 29m 95% 78%
UnitedDetails → IAH 15:00 → DEN 16:43UA 2767 2h 22m Denver DEN 19:05 → COS 20:01UA 4793 · flown by SkyWest 6h 01m 98% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON