tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: United via Denver, leaving 05:15, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Jackson on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 1h 18m Denver DEN 08:05 → JAC 09:46UA 5730 · flown by SkyWest 5h 31m 96% 88%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:35 → SLC 09:48DL 1583 1h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282 5h 40m 94% 85%
UnitedDetails → IAH 07:20 → DEN 08:52UA 1575 2h 23m Denver DEN 11:15 → JAC 12:46UA 2193 6h 26m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:49 → LAX 07:16UA 417 3h 09m Los Angeles LAX 10:25 → JAC 13:44UA 1041 8h 55m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → IAH 12:06 → ATL 15:18DL 1682 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315 8h 58m 98% 79%
UnitedDetails → IAH 12:33 → DEN 14:17UA 2168 2h 03m Denver DEN 16:20 → JAC 17:53UA 2200 6h 20m 95% 78%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 1h 22m Chicago ORD 09:21 → JAC 11:29UA 2176 7h 25m 98% 78%
UnitedDetails → IAH 15:00 → DEN 16:43UA 2767 2h 19m Denver DEN 19:02 → JAC 20:33UA 785 6h 33m 98% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON