tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1936 United Flight history → IAH 11:53 OMA 14:15 16% 6% 0.6% 84%
UA 1216 United Flight history → IAH 20:20 OMA 22:45 20% 8% 0.6% 72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 3h 20m Denver DEN 10:07 → OMA 12:47UA 1633 7h 32m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → IAH 06:30 → MSP 09:13DL 1050 2h 32m Minneapolis MSP 11:45 → OMA 13:11DL 3838 · flown by SkyWest 6h 41m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → ATL 10:04DL 1315 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 13:44 → OMA 15:08DL 2364 8h 08m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → IAH 16:32 → DEN 18:24UA 470 2h 41m Denver DEN 21:05 → OMA 23:43UA 1787 7h 11m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → IAH 12:06 → ATL 15:18DL 1682 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 17:20 → OMA 18:42DL 2707 6h 36m 95% 81%
UnitedDetails → IAH 12:33 → DEN 14:17UA 2168 3h 48m Denver DEN 18:05 → OMA 20:42UA 1436 8h 09m 99% 80%
AmericanDetails → IAH 05:02 → DFW 06:19AA 2551 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:17 → OMA 09:21AA 2135 4h 19m 91% 76%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:10 → ORD 09:04UA 2616 3h 45m Chicago ORD 12:49 → OMA 14:23UA 247 8h 13m 100% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → IAH 05:57 → SEA 08:14AS 241 46m Seattle SEA 09:00 → OMA 14:13AS 312 8h 16m 72% 59%
DeltaDetails → IAH 14:14 → SLC 16:32DL 1532 46m Salt Lake City SLC 17:18 → OMA 20:40DL 3706 · flown by SkyWest 6h 26m 57% 52%
UnitedDetails → IAH 15:30 → SFO 17:35UA 589 51m San Francisco SFO 18:26 → OMA 23:45UA 2839 8h 15m 67% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON