tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 315 United Flight history → IAH 12:00 PIT 15:56 12% 5% 0.6% 85%
UA 2757 United IAH 18:24 PIT 22:24 22% 8% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → LGA 11:33DL 1417 1h 31m New York LGA 13:04 → PIT 14:51DL 5715 · flown by Republic 6h 51m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:49DL 1069 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345 6h 12m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 3h 18m Denver DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308 9h 01m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → IAH 09:47 → ATL 12:54DL 1585 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568 6h 21m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 2h 43m Chicago ORD 10:42 → PIT 13:11UA 2752 7h 07m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → IAH 05:41 → CLT 09:24AA 2011 2h 59m Charlotte CLT 12:23 → PIT 13:53AA 1736 7h 12m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → IAH 08:05 → ORD 11:02UA 1617 3h 23m Chicago ORD 14:25 → PIT 17:10UA 1349 8h 05m 100% 81%
AmericanDetails → IAH 12:01 → PHL 16:40AA 2427 3h 02m Philadelphia PHL 19:42 → PIT 21:10AA 2901 8h 09m 98% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → IAH 13:46 → EWR 18:30UA 1397 59m Newark EWR 19:29 → PIT 21:06UA 3403 · flown by Republic 6h 20m 74% 58%
JetBlueDetails → IAH 16:42 → FLL 20:05B6 2180 57m Fort Lauderdale FLL 21:02 → PIT 23:52B6 2008 6h 10m 54% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON