tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3765 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → IDA 12:54 SLC 14:05 7% 3% 0.5% 92%
DL 2335 Delta Flight history → IDA 06:00 SLC 07:04 7% 3% 0.6% 90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IDA 16:14 → DEN 18:05UA 5666 · flown by SkyWest 3h 00m Denver DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest 6h 30m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → IDA 07:00 → DEN 08:55UA 4706 · flown by SkyWest 2h 50m Denver DEN 11:45 → SLC 13:18UA 1963 6h 18m 98% 79%
UnitedDetails → IDA 10:35 → DEN 12:28UA 5793 · flown by SkyWest 1h 22m Denver DEN 13:50 → SLC 15:23UA 1840 4h 48m 94% 76%
UnitedDetails → IDA 14:30 → DEN 16:18UA 2155 3h 05m Denver DEN 19:23 → SLC 20:56UA 2769 6h 26m 93% 68%
AmericanDetails → IDA 07:00 → DFW 11:00AA 6466 · flown by SkyWest 3h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:09 → SLC 16:00AA 1456 9h 00m 96% 57%
AmericanDetails → IDA 12:21 → DFW 16:16AA 6468 · flown by SkyWest 2h 32m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:48 → SLC 20:34AA 558 8h 13m 95% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON