Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 317 at 08:35, with a 27% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 317 Delta Flight history →	JAC 08:35	ATL 14:15	27%	8%	0.9%	78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest	2h 10m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:00 → ATL 16:44DL 885	7h 04m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282	3h 33m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905	8h 43m	97%	79%
United Details →	JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978	1h 37m Denver	DEN 10:17 → ATL 15:23UA 2806	6h 23m	95%	77%
United Details →	JAC 10:35 → DEN 12:30UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest	3h 24m Denver	DEN 15:54 → ATL 20:59UA 248	8h 24m	100%	76%
United Details →	JAC 07:30 → ORD 11:40UA 2032	2h 15m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → ATL 17:10UA 356	7h 40m	89%	69%
American Details →	JAC 10:58 → CLT 16:55AA 1049	1h 25m Charlotte	CLT 18:20 → ATL 19:49AA 5067 · flown by PSA	6h 51m	82%	56%
American Details →	JAC 11:46 → DFW 15:31AA 3052	1h 59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:30 → ATL 20:49AA 3212	7h 03m	93%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON