tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: United via Denver, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Houston on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978 2h 54m Denver DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 7h 09m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282 3h 23m Salt Lake City SLC 17:45 → IAH 21:50DL 2514 7h 35m 97% 80%
UnitedDetails → JAC 10:35 → DEN 12:30UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest 3h 05m Denver DEN 15:35 → IAH 19:10UA 489 7h 35m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717 2h 56m Denver DEN 18:14 → IAH 21:52UA 1055 7h 10m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → JAC 08:06 → LAX 09:28UA 1431 3h 39m Los Angeles LAX 13:07 → IAH 18:36UA 1084 9h 30m 91% 75%
UnitedDetails → JAC 14:44 → DEN 16:21UA 2791 3h 14m Denver DEN 19:35 → IAH 23:06UA 475 7h 22m 95% 74%
UnitedDetails → JAC 07:30 → ORD 11:40UA 2032 2h 44m Chicago ORD 14:24 → IAH 17:16UA 2062 8h 46m 92% 69%
AmericanDetails → JAC 10:58 → CLT 16:55AA 1049 3h 50m Charlotte CLT 20:45 → IAH 22:27AA 1840 10h 29m 95% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON