tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: B6 17 at 07:06 is the safest bet, 16% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 40%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 17 JetBlue Flight history → JAX 07:06 FLL 08:38 16% 7% 4.0% 91%
B6 2117 JetBlue Flight history → JAX 15:10 FLL 16:44 40% 19% 5.1% 89%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → JAX 06:00 → ATL 07:14DL 2722 51m Atlanta ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094 3h 59m 91% 75%
DeltaDetails → JAX 07:05 → ATL 08:23DL 2450 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 5h 18m 99% 74%
DeltaDetails → JAX 08:17 → ATL 09:34DL 2569 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 10m 98% 73%
UnitedDetails → JAX 07:05 → IAH 08:29UA 2453 1h 48m Houston IAH 10:17 → FLL 14:06UA 2670 7h 01m 95% 72%
UnitedDetails → JAX 11:37 → IAH 13:11UA 4039 · flown by Mesa 1h 35m Houston IAH 14:46 → FLL 18:30UA 1424 6h 53m 96% 72%
DeltaDetails → JAX 09:52 → ATL 11:08DL 2328 2h 51m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → FLL 15:55DL 1413 6h 03m 99% 71%
DeltaDetails → JAX 11:47 → DTW 14:08DL 2333 1h 43m Detroit DTW 15:51 → FLL 18:57DL 1037 7h 10m 96% 70%
UnitedDetails → JAX 09:20 → IAH 10:54UA 6224 · flown by Mesa 1h 15m Houston IAH 12:09 → FLL 15:51UA 1982 6h 31m 89% 69%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → JAX 17:40 → ATL 19:00DL 2720 58m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 4h 16m 75% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON