Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 675 at 22:39, with a 36% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 675 JetBlue Flight history → JFK 22:39 BDL 23:59 36% 11% 0.9% 64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → JFK 08:40 → ATL 11:23DL 2227 1h 32m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → BDL 15:14DL 2739 6h 34m 94% 82%
DeltaDetails → JFK 16:50 → DTW 18:47DL 2443 2h 43m Detroit DTW 21:30 → BDL 23:14DL 2989 6h 24m 95% 82%
DeltaDetails → JFK 07:15 → MSP 09:25DL 2390 51m Minneapolis MSP 10:16 → BDL 13:52DL 2007 6h 37m 90% 82%
DeltaDetails → JFK 11:10 → ATL 13:43DL 1029 2h 42m Atlanta ATL 16:25 → BDL 18:50DL 2735 7h 40m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → JFK 07:15 → DTW 09:23DL 5080 · flown by Endeavor 1h 08m Detroit DTW 10:31 → BDL 12:15DL 2163 5h 00m 90% 79%
AmericanDetails → JFK 07:59 → CLT 10:07AA 1444 2h 06m Charlotte CLT 12:13 → BDL 14:19AA 2741 6h 20m 94% 78%
DeltaDetails → JFK 13:35 → ATL 16:19DL 2342 3h 11m Atlanta ATL 19:30 → BDL 21:54DL 2504 8h 19m 98% 77%
DeltaDetails → JFK 15:41 → ATL 18:34DL 1480 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011 8h 13m 94% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlueDetails → JFK 16:41 → FLL 19:49B6 1201 1h 06m Fort Lauderdale FLL 20:55 → BDL 23:59B6 460 7h 18m 72% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON