Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 358 at 17:16, with a 27% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 358 JetBlue Flight history →	JFK 17:16	BUR 20:35	27%	10%	1.7%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	JFK 10:28 → PDX 13:22AS 19	1h 33m Portland	PDX 14:55 → BUR 17:13AS 1386	9h 45m	95%	79%
Delta Details →	JFK 06:00 → ATL 08:29DL 2286	2h 51m Atlanta	ATL 11:20 → BUR 12:56DL 483	9h 56m	99%	77%
Alaska Details →	JFK 07:00 → SEA 10:16AS 21	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 13:18 → BUR 15:48AS 529	11h 48m	98%	68%
American Details →	JFK 14:42 → DFW 17:44AA 1953	3h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:46 → BUR 21:58AA 2597	10h 16m	96%	53%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	JFK 13:00 → SEA 16:19AS 23	55m Seattle	SEA 17:14 → BUR 19:34AS 530	9h 34m	67%	47%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON