Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4986 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	JFK 17:30	MKE 19:24	28%	15%	4.5%	72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JFK 06:00 → ATL 08:29DL 2286	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 10:49 → MKE 11:51DL 1151	6h 51m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	JFK 08:40 → ATL 11:23DL 2227	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246	6h 10m	94%	84%
Delta Details →	JFK 11:10 → ATL 13:43DL 1029	2h 12m Atlanta	ATL 15:55 → MKE 16:59DL 1206	6h 49m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	JFK 09:50 → BOS 11:18DL 5733 · flown by Republic	56m Boston	BOS 12:14 → MKE 14:04DL 5614 · flown by Republic	5h 14m	90%	81%
Delta Details →	JFK 13:35 → ATL 16:19DL 2342	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 19:54 → MKE 21:02DL 2388	8h 27m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	JFK 17:50 → ATL 20:13DL 2293	2h 26m Atlanta	ATL 22:39 → MKE 23:43DL 1268	6h 53m	92%	75%
Delta Details →	JFK 16:50 → DTW 18:47DL 2443	1h 13m Detroit	DTW 20:00 → MKE 20:20DL 3724 · flown by SkyWest	4h 30m	86%	70%
American Details →	JFK 12:00 → CLT 14:09AA 493	1h 53m Charlotte	CLT 16:02 → MKE 17:13AA 2395	6h 13m	96%	66%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON