tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 22–29% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1863 Southwest LAS 14:11 COS 17:10 22% 6% 0.6% no record
WN 4026 Southwest LAS 19:19 COS 22:11 29% 12% 1.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h ahead of Las Vegas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 3h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 6h 35m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 1h 35m Denver DEN 10:07 → COS 10:56UA 5306 · flown by SkyWest 4h 26m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → LAS 17:15 → SLC 19:42DL 1672 1h 17m Salt Lake City SLC 20:59 → COS 22:41DL 3788 · flown by SkyWest 4h 26m 87% 82%
UnitedDetails → LAS 09:37 → DEN 12:41UA 1315 2h 54m Denver DEN 15:35 → COS 16:32UA 5546 · flown by SkyWest 5h 55m 98% 81%
UnitedDetails → LAS 13:36 → DEN 16:40UA 1323 2h 25m Denver DEN 19:05 → COS 20:01UA 4793 · flown by SkyWest 5h 25m 96% 75%
AmericanDetails → LAS 06:08 → DFW 11:00AA 2932 2h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:46 → COS 14:48AA 1170 7h 40m 99% 68%
AmericanDetails → LAS 09:47 → DFW 14:38AA 2797 2h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 7h 47m 100% 66%
AmericanDetails → LAS 09:03 → DFW 13:54AA 1908 1h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:36 → COS 16:38AA 790 6h 35m 92% 58%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → LAS 11:33 → DFW 16:28AA 1494 59m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 6h 01m 71% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON