tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: WN 3717 at 09:56 is the safest bet, 14% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 27%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3717 Southwest LAS 09:56 GEG 12:31 14% 3% 0.6% no record
WN 2145 Southwest LAS 19:29 GEG 21:52 27% 10% 1.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AlaskaDetails → LAS 08:19 → PDX 10:39AS 596 3h 52m Portland PDX 14:31 → GEG 15:41AS 1482 7h 22m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 2h 56m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 6h 08m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:00 → SLC 08:19DL 2674 3h 11m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 12m 99% 85%
AlaskaDetails → LAS 06:02 → SEA 08:45AS 701 1h 10m Seattle SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon 4h 58m 95% 85%
DeltaDetails → LAS 11:42 → MSP 16:45DL 2262 1h 30m Minneapolis MSP 18:15 → GEG 19:25DL 2418 7h 43m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 2h 43m Denver DEN 11:15 → GEG 12:37UA 295 7h 07m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:19 → MSP 11:22DL 1282 57m Minneapolis MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437 7h 02m 93% 84%
DeltaDetails → LAS 09:57 → LAX 11:14DL 2253 1h 46m Los Angeles LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest 5h 38m 96% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → LAS 18:19 → SAN 19:36AS 2251 · flown by Horizon 46m San Diego SAN 20:22 → GEG 23:07AS 566 4h 48m 12% 9%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON