tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, OO 3339 at 19:43, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3339 SkyWest LAX 19:43 EUG 22:05 14% 5% 0.7% no record
AS 2324 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record LAX 10:05 EUG 12:18 8% 4% 0.0% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Eugene on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AlaskaDetails → LAX 18:00 → SEA 20:35AS 698 2h 14m Seattle SEA 22:49 → EUG 23:59AS 2047 · flown by Horizon 5h 59m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → LAX 09:55 → SLC 12:45DL 1434 2h 17m Salt Lake City SLC 15:02 → EUG 16:02DL 4105 · flown by SkyWest 6h 07m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → LAX 17:45 → SEA 20:27DL 2640 1h 23m Seattle SEA 21:50 → EUG 23:08DL 3855 · flown by SkyWest 5h 23m 91% 76%
DeltaDetails → LAX 07:15 → SEA 10:00DL 2980 1h 30m Seattle SEA 11:30 → EUG 12:58DL 4149 · flown by SkyWest 5h 43m 93% 76%
UnitedDetails → LAX 11:46 → SFO 13:17UA 1245 3h 18m San Francisco SFO 16:35 → EUG 18:17UA 502 6h 31m 98% 74%
UnitedDetails → LAX 14:30 → DEN 18:00UA 2758 1h 35m Denver DEN 19:35 → EUG 21:21UA 1303 6h 51m 90% 68%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 11:22 → PDX 13:43AS 1355 51m Portland PDX 14:34 → EUG 15:29AS 3042 · flown by SkyWest 4h 07m 76% 66%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 18:27 → PDX 20:48AS 1397 52m Portland PDX 21:40 → EUG 22:28AS 2088 · flown by Horizon 4h 01m 77% 62%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → LAX 11:22 → PDX 13:43AS 1355 47m Portland PDX 14:30 → EUG 15:18AS 2078 · flown by Horizon 3h 56m 68% 63%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON