tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3576 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → LAX 21:25 GEG 00:02 10% 4% 0.6% 86%
DL 3794 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → LAX 13:00 GEG 15:35 13% 5% 0.6% 94%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AlaskaDetails → LAX 11:22 → PDX 13:43AS 1355 3h 45m Portland PDX 17:28 → GEG 18:38AS 452 7h 16m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906 3h 00m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 37m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → LAX 09:55 → SLC 12:45DL 1434 2h 40m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 6h 13m 97% 84%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 08:19 → SEA 10:56AS 495 3h 26m Seattle SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon 7h 06m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413 1h 25m Minneapolis MSP 18:15 → GEG 19:25DL 2418 8h 10m 94% 81%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 07:00 → PDX 09:21AS 668 1h 09m Portland PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250 4h 45m 94% 81%
DeltaDetails → LAX 12:09 → SEA 14:55DL 1045 3h 04m Seattle SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest 7h 06m 97% 79%
UnitedDetails → LAX 12:46 → DEN 16:16UA 360 2h 49m Denver DEN 19:05 → GEG 20:30UA 778 7h 44m 97% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → LAX 11:22 → PDX 13:43AS 1355 48m Portland PDX 14:31 → GEG 15:41AS 1482 4h 19m 70% 61%
DeltaDetails → LAX 12:09 → SEA 14:55DL 1045 50m Seattle SEA 15:45 → GEG 17:00DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest 4h 51m 73% 60%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 16:57 → SEA 19:37AS 1305 46m Seattle SEA 20:23 → GEG 21:28AS 448 4h 31m 47% 30%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON