Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6224 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 18:32	OMA 23:57	11%	5%	0.6%	74%
AA 6506 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 09:09	OMA 14:34	12%	5%	0.5%	91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LAX 11:35 → SLC 14:27DL 1194	2h 51m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:18 → OMA 20:40DL 3706 · flown by SkyWest	7h 05m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	LAX 12:35 → MSP 18:11DL 914	3h 19m Minneapolis	MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest	8h 13m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906	55m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:25 → OMA 12:46DL 4114 · flown by SkyWest	5h 11m	94%	88%
Delta Details →	LAX 05:30 → DTW 12:56DL 2399	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 16:00 → OMA 17:10DL 3889 · flown by SkyWest	9h 40m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:45 → DTW 17:08DL 494	2h 37m Detroit	DTW 19:45 → OMA 20:53DL 3715 · flown by SkyWest	9h 08m	98%	84%
American Details →	LAX 00:13 → DFW 05:22AA 2490	1h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:17 → OMA 09:21AA 2135	7h 08m	100%	84%
United Details →	LAX 14:30 → DEN 18:00UA 2758	3h 05m Denver	DEN 21:05 → OMA 23:43UA 1787	7h 13m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	LAX 07:00 → ATL 14:35DL 515	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 17:20 → OMA 18:42DL 2707	9h 42m	98%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON