Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 5345 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 18:50	PSP 19:53	19%	6%	0.6%	90%
OO 9922 SkyWest	LAX 22:06	PSP 22:59	19%	6%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906	2h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	6h 06m	98%	92%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:55 → SLC 12:45DL 1434	3h 00m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:45 → PSP 16:38DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest	6h 43m	97%	89%
United Details →	LAX 07:30 → SFO 09:06UA 1372	3h 37m San Francisco	SFO 12:43 → PSP 14:26UA 342	6h 56m	99%	81%
Alaska Details →	LAX 07:00 → PDX 09:21AS 668	1h 11m Portland	PDX 10:32 → PSP 12:50AS 1323	5h 50m	94%	75%
United Details →	LAX 12:46 → DEN 16:16UA 360	2h 58m Denver	DEN 19:14 → PSP 20:28UA 2644	7h 42m	98%	73%
Alaska Details →	LAX 09:00 → SEA 11:52AS 482	2h 33m Seattle	SEA 14:25 → PSP 17:01AS 322	8h 01m	93%	69%
American Details →	LAX 13:10 → PHX 14:40AA 1994	2h 36m Phoenix	PHX 17:16 → PSP 18:33AA 4922 · flown by SkyWest	5h 23m	89%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	LAX 14:27 → PDX 16:47AS 1315	49m Portland	PDX 17:36 → PSP 20:14AS 3022 · flown by SkyWest	5h 47m	68%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON