Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 5268 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	LGA 11:37	ALB 12:47	16%	6%	6.0%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LGA 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1231	2h 10m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → ALB 11:47DL 5522 · flown by Endeavor	5h 41m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550	2h 42m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → ALB 13:28DL 1137	7h 28m	99%	85%
American Details →	LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084	2h 28m Charlotte	CLT 10:26 → ALB 12:32AA 710	6h 32m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	LGA 17:00 → DTW 19:39DL 999	2h 06m Detroit	DTW 21:45 → ALB 23:21DL 2660	6h 21m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	LGA 15:51 → ATL 18:14DL 969	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584	8h 08m	98%	76%
United Details →	LGA 10:15 → ORD 11:57UA 1310	2h 47m Chicago	ORD 14:44 → ALB 17:44UA 1634	7h 29m	97%	73%
American Details →	LGA 16:00 → ORD 18:08AA 396	2h 48m Chicago	ORD 20:56 → ALB 23:52AA 3420 · flown by Envoy	7h 52m	95%	71%
United Details →	LGA 13:22 → ORD 15:01UA 1967	3h 32m Chicago	ORD 18:33 → ALB 21:29UA 1382	8h 07m	97%	67%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	LGA 19:28 → IAD 20:55UA 6244 · flown by Mesa	1h 15m Dulles	IAD 22:10 → ALB 23:47UA 4321 · flown by CommuteAir	4h 19m	72%	49%
American Details →	LGA 18:54 → ORD 20:10AA 1795	46m Chicago	ORD 20:56 → ALB 23:52AA 3420 · flown by Envoy	4h 58m	62%	47%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON