Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4675 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	LGA 13:45	CHA 16:04	26%	10%	2.7%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 10:36 → CHA 11:30DL 1737	5h 30m	99%	87%
United Details →	LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389	2h 36m Chicago	ORD 10:25 → CHA 13:16UA 4543 · flown by GoJet	7h 06m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 13:53 → CHA 14:43DL 3141	5h 43m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	LGA 10:00 → ATL 12:28DL 989	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 16:12 → CHA 17:15DL 5179 · flown by Endeavor	7h 15m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	LGA 15:51 → ATL 18:14DL 969	3h 36m Atlanta	ATL 21:50 → CHA 22:47DL 1059	6h 56m	99%	80%
American Details →	LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084	3h 27m Charlotte	CLT 11:25 → CHA 12:54AA 6127 · flown by Piedmont	6h 54m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	LGA 14:01 → ATL 16:22DL 988	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 19:36 → CHA 20:33DL 1722	6h 32m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	LGA 15:06 → DTW 16:56DL 308	3h 14m Detroit	DTW 20:10 → CHA 22:02DL 4894 · flown by Endeavor	6h 56m	98%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON