Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4989 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	LGA 10:45	ECP 12:37	21%	5%	5.0%	79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Panama City Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LGA 07:00 → ATL 09:30DL 342	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 12:27 → ECP 12:40DL 2823	6h 40m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 10:41 → ECP 10:48DL 3045	5h 48m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	LGA 14:01 → ATL 16:22DL 988	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 18:58 → ECP 19:12DL 3053	6h 11m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	LGA 10:00 → ATL 12:28DL 989	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 15:55 → ECP 16:06DL 3094	7h 06m	99%	82%
United Details →	LGA 14:00 → IAH 17:01UA 2674	1h 04m Houston	IAH 18:05 → ECP 20:03UA 4826 · flown by CommuteAir	7h 03m	87%	77%
Delta Details →	LGA 18:00 → ATL 21:20DL 964	1h 31m Atlanta	ATL 22:51 → ECP 22:58DL 3131	5h 58m	93%	75%
American Details →	LGA 06:09 → DFW 09:05AA 1043	57m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:02 → ECP 12:13AA 3625 · flown by Envoy	7h 04m	93%	74%
American Details →	LGA 08:11 → CLT 09:58AA 3279	2h 09m Charlotte	CLT 12:07 → ECP 13:00AA 5262 · flown by PSA	5h 49m	90%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON