tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: American via Charlotte, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084 3h 22m Charlotte CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont 6h 36m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1231 50m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 4h 34m 94% 83%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992 2h 22m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → MYR 15:14DL 3182 6h 14m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:57 → BOS 08:03DL 5793 · flown by Republic 3h 32m Boston BOS 11:35 → MYR 13:53DL 3087 6h 56m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 1h 09m Atlanta ATL 09:32 → MYR 10:49DL 3047 4h 49m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → LGA 15:51 → ATL 18:14DL 969 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 20:30 → MYR 21:49DL 3074 5h 58m 97% 72%
AmericanDetails → LGA 11:06 → CLT 12:56AA 2036 3h 02m Charlotte CLT 15:58 → MYR 17:06AA 2943 6h 00m 97% 71%
AmericanDetails → LGA 14:31 → CLT 16:53AA 2033 3h 15m Charlotte CLT 20:08 → MYR 21:19AA 1085 6h 48m 94% 68%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON