tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 379 at 09:00, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 379 Delta Flight history → LGA 09:00 RSW 12:04 15% 3% 4.9% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389 1h 31m Chicago ORD 09:20 → RSW 13:15UA 1036 7h 05m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 11:49 → RSW 13:36DL 1153 7h 36m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078 3h 04m Detroit DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225 7h 57m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 7h 44m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → LGA 12:19 → DEN 14:33UA 2200 1h 43m Denver DEN 16:16 → RSW 21:58UA 572 9h 39m 95% 78%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:25 → MSP 08:18DL 2510 47m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 7h 02m 90% 77%
DeltaDetails → LGA 12:00 → ATL 14:32DL 993 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 17:07 → RSW 18:55DL 1124 6h 55m 99% 75%
UnitedDetails → LGA 14:00 → IAH 17:01UA 2674 1h 30m Houston IAH 18:31 → RSW 22:11UA 2095 8h 11m 93% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON