tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 5421 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record LGA 19:55 SYR 21:25 20% 6% 4.6% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992 1h 33m Atlanta ATL 13:05 → SYR 15:16DL 2991 6h 16m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 1h 00m Atlanta ATL 09:23 → SYR 11:33DL 1375 5h 33m 95% 81%
DeltaDetails → LGA 17:00 → DTW 19:39DL 999 1h 56m Detroit DTW 21:35 → SYR 22:58DL 1689 5h 58m 96% 78%
AmericanDetails → LGA 17:25 → DCA 19:07AA 4736 · flown by Republic 1h 18m Washington DCA 20:25 → SYR 22:04AA 5456 · flown by PSA 4h 39m 90% 76%
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084 2h 44m Charlotte CLT 10:42 → SYR 12:43AA 2730 6h 43m 98% 76%
UnitedDetails → LGA 10:15 → ORD 11:57UA 1310 1h 58m Chicago ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343 6h 33m 96% 72%
AmericanDetails → LGA 11:06 → CLT 12:56AA 2036 1h 02m Charlotte CLT 13:58 → SYR 15:59AA 1950 4h 53m 85% 63%
JetBlueDetails → LGA 12:00 → FLL 15:03B6 1371 1h 27m Fort Lauderdale FLL 16:30 → SYR 19:40B6 1738 7h 40m 84% 58%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → LGA 10:29 → IAD 11:55UA 6242 · flown by Mesa 50m Dulles IAD 12:45 → SYR 14:15UA 4360 · flown by CommuteAir 3h 46m 73% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON