tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2594 Southwest LIT 08:11 BNA 09:28 7% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 1389 Southwest LIT 15:36 BNA 16:53 17% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LIT 05:25 → ATL 07:59DL 1565 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 6h 05m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → LIT 07:08 → CLT 10:17AA 4158 · flown by Envoy 1h 55m Charlotte CLT 12:12 → BNA 12:39AA 2409 5h 31m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → LIT 07:05 → IAH 08:47UA 4301 · flown by CommuteAir 3h 15m Houston IAH 12:02 → BNA 14:12UA 1318 7h 07m 97% 78%
DeltaDetails → LIT 14:58 → ATL 17:37DL 3027 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 20:23 → BNA 20:34DL 3002 5h 36m 96% 76%
DeltaDetails → LIT 11:41 → ATL 14:18DL 3040 1h 05m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → BNA 15:36DL 3142 3h 55m 90% 75%
UnitedDetails → LIT 12:00 → IAH 13:37UA 4830 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 56m Houston IAH 16:33 → BNA 18:41UA 2165 6h 41m 96% 75%
UnitedDetails → LIT 13:35 → DEN 15:04UA 4686 · flown by SkyWest 2h 26m Denver DEN 17:30 → BNA 21:13UA 1300 7h 38m 96% 74%
DeltaDetails → LIT 17:46 → ATL 20:23DL 3025 2h 22m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → BNA 22:58DL 3121 5h 12m 94% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → LIT 11:13 → ORD 13:15UA 4410 · flown by GoJet 1h 01m Chicago ORD 14:16 → BNA 16:00UA 2142 4h 47m 69% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON