tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, WN 302 at 13:11, with a 26% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 302 Southwest MCI 13:11 FLL 17:15 26% 5% 1.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → MCI 13:40 → DEN 14:35UA 708 3h 10m Denver DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:51UA 1374 9h 11m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355 2h 56m Denver DEN 09:52 → FLL 15:57UA 1214 8h 57m 97% 79%
UnitedDetails → MCI 08:56 → DEN 10:07UA 1384 3h 46m Denver DEN 13:53 → FLL 19:44UA 1384 9h 48m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:05 → SLC 08:41DL 2897 1h 04m Salt Lake City SLC 09:45 → FLL 16:28DL 745 8h 23m 96% 77%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:25 → DTW 09:23DL 1256 3h 47m Detroit DTW 13:10 → FLL 16:14DL 1294 8h 49m 100% 77%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 56m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 6h 02m 94% 76%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:00 → LGA 09:50DL 370 1h 25m New York LGA 11:15 → FLL 14:18DL 1181 7h 18m 97% 76%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:16 → IAH 08:25UA 740 3h 44m Houston IAH 12:09 → FLL 15:51UA 1982 8h 35m 99% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON