tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:39, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Milwaukee on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 2h 06m Atlanta ATL 10:49 → MKE 11:51DL 1151 6h 12m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 58m Minneapolis MSP 08:52 → MKE 10:11DL 1781 3h 48m 95% 89%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246 6h 50m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355 3h 01m Denver DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:25UA 1836 7h 25m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → MCI 11:20 → ATL 14:24DL 2908 1h 31m Atlanta ATL 15:55 → MKE 16:59DL 1206 5h 39m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → MCI 14:07 → DTW 17:02DL 2741 2h 58m Detroit DTW 20:00 → MKE 20:20DL 3724 · flown by SkyWest 6h 13m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → MCI 13:17 → ATL 16:25DL 2747 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 19:54 → MKE 21:02DL 2388 7h 45m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → MCI 17:34 → ATL 20:48DL 1660 1h 51m Atlanta ATL 22:39 → MKE 23:43DL 1268 6h 09m 95% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON