tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:25, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching San Antonio on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:25 → DTW 09:23DL 1256 2h 27m Detroit DTW 11:50 → SAT 13:59DL 2458 7h 34m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355 2h 39m Denver DEN 09:35 → SAT 12:43UA 2625 6h 43m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 59m Minneapolis MSP 08:53 → SAT 11:46DL 2667 5h 23m 95% 86%
DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 7h 59m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → MCI 08:56 → DEN 10:07UA 1384 3h 37m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 7h 59m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:05 → SLC 08:41DL 2897 1h 09m Salt Lake City SLC 09:50 → SAT 13:36DL 3123 6h 31m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:16 → IAH 08:25UA 740 1h 14m Houston IAH 09:39 → SAT 10:46UA 6201 · flown by Mesa 4h 30m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → MCI 11:20 → ATL 14:24DL 2908 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 16:59 → SAT 18:29DL 1465 7h 09m 99% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON