tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Grand Rapids on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Grand Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCO 07:00 → MSP 09:26DL 1250 3h 41m Minneapolis MSP 13:07 → GRR 15:36DL 1245 8h 36m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → MCO 12:28 → DTW 15:18DL 1455 3h 02m Detroit DTW 18:20 → GRR 19:21DL 4880 · flown by Endeavor 6h 53m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → MCO 09:02 → DTW 11:45DL 2845 1h 13m Detroit DTW 12:58 → GRR 14:09DL 5390 · flown by Endeavor 5h 07m 93% 81%
DeltaDetails → MCO 15:00 → MSP 17:39DL 1208 2h 54m Minneapolis MSP 20:33 → GRR 22:59DL 1711 7h 59m 97% 80%
FrontierDetails → MCO 06:00 → DEN 08:07F9 1733 2h 42m Denver DEN 10:49 → GRR 15:34F9 1248 9h 34m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → MCO 05:30 → ATL 07:03DL 1548 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → GRR 12:21DL 2547 6h 51m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → MCO 16:23 → PHL 19:14AA 3153 1h 56m Philadelphia PHL 21:10 → GRR 23:21AA 5493 · flown by PSA 6h 58m 93% 77%
AmericanDetails → MCO 16:50 → ORD 19:04AA 1782 3h 23m Chicago ORD 22:27 → GRR 00:24 +1AA 3793 · flown by Envoy 7h 34m 100% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON