Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 25–31% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 2656 JetBlue Flight history →	MCO 13:15	SYR 16:13	25%	8%	9.6%	81%
B6 1656 JetBlue	MCO 16:39	SYR 19:29	31%	11%	4.3%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MCO 06:05 → DTW 08:54DL 1201	2h 34m Detroit	DTW 11:28 → SYR 13:06DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	7h 01m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	MCO 09:02 → DTW 11:45DL 2845	2h 40m Detroit	DTW 14:25 → SYR 16:03DL 5465 · flown by Endeavor	7h 01m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MCO 13:48 → LGA 16:24DL 1511	3h 27m New York	LGA 19:51 → SYR 20:56DL 5421 · flown by Endeavor	7h 08m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	MCO 18:06 → JFK 20:57DL 1685	2h 11m New York	JFK 23:08 → SYR 00:16 +1DL 5371 · flown by Endeavor	6h 10m	96%	78%
Delta Details →	MCO 05:30 → ATL 07:03DL 1548	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 09:23 → SYR 11:33DL 1375	6h 03m	97%	74%
Delta Details →	MCO 09:05 → ATL 10:45DL 1505	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 13:05 → SYR 15:16DL 2991	6h 11m	98%	73%
American Details →	MCO 16:23 → PHL 19:14AA 3153	1h 53m Philadelphia	PHL 21:07 → SYR 22:35AA 6103 · flown by Piedmont	6h 12m	93%	73%
American Details →	MCO 07:02 → CLT 08:49AA 1647	1h 53m Charlotte	CLT 10:42 → SYR 12:43AA 2730	5h 41m	97%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MCO 16:00 → LGA 19:05DL 2564	46m New York	LGA 19:51 → SYR 20:56DL 5421 · flown by Endeavor	4h 56m	69%	57%
American Details →	MCO 08:03 → CLT 09:48AA 461	54m Charlotte	CLT 10:42 → SYR 12:43AA 2730	4h 40m	73%	53%
JetBlue Details →	MCO 18:57 → JFK 21:37B6 1184	53m New York	JFK 22:30 → SYR 00:05 +1B6 1516	5h 08m	34%	22%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON