tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4787 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record MDT 06:15 DTW 07:52 4% 4% 1.8% 96%
DL 4891 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record MDT 17:34 DTW 19:14 44% 19% 1.8% 56%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MDT 06:36 → ATL 08:35DL 1255 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240 6h 20m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → MDT 06:15 → IAD 07:13UA 4244 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 22m Dulles IAD 08:35 → DTW 10:14UA 6137 · flown by Mesa 3h 59m 93% 82%
DeltaDetails → MDT 12:30 → ATL 14:29DL 1248 2h 42m Atlanta ATL 17:11 → DTW 19:14DL 2067 6h 44m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → MDT 05:00 → CLT 06:44AA 6100 · flown by Piedmont 1h 53m Charlotte CLT 08:37 → DTW 10:27AA 2582 5h 27m 94% 81%
UnitedDetails → MDT 06:30 → ORD 07:42UA 2684 3h 08m Chicago ORD 10:50 → DTW 13:27UA 5756 · flown by SkyWest 6h 57m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → MDT 18:22 → ATL 20:35DL 2857 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → DTW 00:58 +1DL 2940 6h 36m 97% 77%
AmericanDetails → MDT 09:38 → CLT 11:22AA 5638 · flown by PSA 1h 06m Charlotte CLT 12:28 → DTW 14:17AA 1683 4h 39m 93% 75%
AmericanDetails → MDT 10:40 → CLT 12:25AA 5786 · flown by Piedmont 3h 23m Charlotte CLT 15:48 → DTW 17:36AA 1134 6h 56m 100% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MDT 19:38 → PHL 20:39AA 5965 · flown by Piedmont 1h 04m Philadelphia PHL 21:43 → DTW 23:35AA 5418 · flown by PSA 3h 57m 66% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON