Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, AA 363 at 20:45, with a 32% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 363 American Flight history →	MIA 20:45	CLE 23:48	32%	10%	0.8%	67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MIA 08:48 → IAH 10:42UA 2417	3h 53m Houston	IAH 14:35 → CLE 18:30UA 1934	9h 42m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:02DL 1249	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 11:49 → CLE 13:35DL 775	7h 35m	98%	84%
American Details →	MIA 06:19 → DCA 09:00AA 491	2h 35m Washington	DCA 11:35 → CLE 13:06AA 5535 · flown by PSA	6h 47m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → CLE 15:29DL 2545	7h 09m	98%	83%
American Details →	MIA 06:15 → CLT 08:21AA 3004	2h 36m Charlotte	CLT 10:57 → CLE 12:35AA 848	6h 20m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	MIA 12:10 → ATL 14:20DL 1510	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → CLE 19:35DL 2750	7h 25m	97%	78%
American Details →	MIA 06:45 → PHL 09:38AA 2129	3h 12m Philadelphia	PHL 12:50 → CLE 14:38AA 5861 · flown by Piedmont	7h 53m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	MIA 16:39 → ATL 18:45DL 1323	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 22:02 → CLE 23:56DL 651	7h 17m	97%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MIA 11:44 → BOS 15:17DL 1399	48m Boston	BOS 16:05 → CLE 18:20DL 5655 · flown by Republic	6h 36m	70%	60%
Delta Details →	MIA 17:01 → JFK 20:16DL 1514	1h 14m New York	JFK 21:30 → CLE 23:43DL 4946 · flown by Endeavor	6h 43m	74%	46%
American Details →	MIA 15:33 → DFW 17:43AA 1824	48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:31 → CLE 22:24AA 1484	6h 51m	57%	32%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON