Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, AA 1702 at 20:59, with a 28% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 1702 American Flight history →	MIA 20:59	PIT 23:48	28%	12%	0.8%	72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MIA 07:00 → LGA 09:57DL 2387	3h 07m New York	LGA 13:04 → PIT 14:51DL 5715 · flown by Republic	7h 51m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MIA 11:29 → LGA 14:26DL 2339	3h 06m New York	LGA 17:32 → PIT 19:16DL 5694 · flown by Republic	7h 47m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:02DL 1249	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	6h 52m	98%	87%
American Details →	MIA 14:03 → JFK 17:00AA 2899	3h 30m New York	JFK 20:30 → PIT 22:27AA 4611 · flown by Republic	8h 24m	95%	84%
Delta Details →	MIA 10:37 → ATL 12:45DL 2836	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568	6h 31m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	MIA 12:10 → ATL 14:20DL 1510	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 17:01 → PIT 18:45DL 3122	6h 35m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	MIA 16:39 → ATL 18:45DL 1323	3h 54m Atlanta	ATL 22:39 → PIT 00:22 +1DL 1351	7h 43m	98%	82%
United Details →	MIA 08:48 → IAH 10:42UA 2417	1h 18m Houston	IAH 12:00 → PIT 15:56UA 315	7h 08m	94%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MIA 16:39 → ATL 18:45DL 1323	1h 04m Atlanta	ATL 19:49 → PIT 21:35DL 2583	4h 56m	68%	54%
American Details →	MIA 16:54 → ORD 19:32AA 3304	1h 00m Chicago	ORD 20:32 → PIT 23:10AA 4527 · flown by Republic	6h 16m	61%	52%
American Details →	MIA 16:01 → CLT 18:22AA 985	1h 06m Charlotte	CLT 19:28 → PIT 20:54AA 2676	4h 53m	71%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON